GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while North Sunshine Eagles are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Australia Cup, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

10.9%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
North Sunshine EaglesDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LionsNorth Sunshine Eagles
50.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power64.8
1.83xG1.52
View match centre →