LionsvsMoreton City Excelsior

Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.