Lionsvs
Melbourne City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lions 2-0 Melbourne City
Original prediction
Melbourne City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Melbourne City
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
9.6%
Melbourne City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LionsWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Melbourne CityLWDDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LionsMelbourne City
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power97.0
1.62xG2.04