GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gold Coast United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

87.1%

Model confidence

87.1%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsWDWWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Gold Coast UnitedLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LionsGold Coast United
86.4Attack39.4
66.7Defence40.9
80.3Form30.3
77.2Power38.4
3.77xG0.66
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