Lionsvs
Gold Coast United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gold Coast United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
87.1%
Model confidence
87.1%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00