GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 2/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

9.0%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast KnightsLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
LionsGold Coast Knights
86.4Attack69.7
66.7Defence51.5
80.3Form57.6
77.2Power58.9
2.91xG1.23
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