GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/11/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Lions are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Brisbane City are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

82.0%

Model confidence

82.0%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Brisbane CityWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
LionsBrisbane City
86.4Attack71.2
66.7Defence27.3
80.3Form51.5
77.2Power51.1
4.45xG1.24
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