GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/28/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brisbane City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

82.0%

Model confidence

82.0%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LionsWWWDL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Brisbane CityDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LionsBrisbane City
86.4Attack71.2
66.7Defence27.3
80.3Form51.5
77.2Power51.1
4.45xG1.24
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