Lions Gibraltarvs
Mons Calpe
SCHEDULEDGibraltar · Premier Division · 10/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mons Calpe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.21 | 17.3% | 18.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.4% | 18.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.3% | 63.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Mons Calpe
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Mons Calpe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lions GibraltarLLLLW
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Mons CalpeWWWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lions GibraltarMons Calpe
47.6Attack72.2
23.8Defence66.7
33.3Form72.2
36.1Power70.5
1.23xG2.80