GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linköping W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Linköping W 2-1 Husqvarna W

Original prediction

Linköping W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3069.4%53.2%-16.2 pts
Draw4.9918.0%23.0%5.0 pts
Away7.1612.6%23.8%11.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Linköping W

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Linköping W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Linköping WLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Husqvarna WWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Linköping WHusqvarna W
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power53.0
2.23xG1.37
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