GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linköping W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Linköping W 1-4 Göteborg W

Original prediction

Linköping W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0444.8%39.5%-5.2 pts
Draw3.5525.7%26.1%0.4 pts
Away3.0929.5%34.4%4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Linköping W

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Linköping W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Linköping WWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Göteborg WWWWW

GF 18 · GA 0 · avg 4.50/0.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 4/4
Linköping WGöteborg W
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power97.0
1.85xG1.77
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