Linköping Wvs
Elfsborg W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linköping W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Linköping W 2-3 Elfsborg W
Original prediction
Linköping W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.2% | 41.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 26.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.2% | 31.7% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Linköping W
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Linköping W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80