Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Liniers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Flandria are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Liniers hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
33.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00