GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Liniers 0-0 Argentino de Merlo, with an exact score probability of 33%.

Prediction record

Final result

Liniers 1-2 Argentino de Merlo

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1242.1%35.5%-6.6 pts
Draw2.7732.2%35.4%3.1 pts
Away3.4925.6%29.1%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.1 pts

Projected Score

Liniers 0–0 Argentino de Merlo

Exact score probability: 33%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LiniersWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Argentino de MerloLLDLD

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LiniersArgentino de Merlo
27.6Attack28.6
66.7Defence66.7
38.1Form39.0
46.6Power46.7
0.60xG0.53
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