GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Linfield are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Linfield hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (74.0 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Linfield holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Linfield

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LinfieldWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KilmarnockWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
LinfieldKilmarnock
100.0Attack100.0
61.9Defence66.7
76.2Form60.0
74.0Power69.5
2.25xG1.65
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