UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Linfield

Linfield

Home
DL
22
Full time
Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme

Away
W
Windsor Park
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Kalju Nomme(51%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Linfield
24%
Draw
24%
Kalju Nomme
51%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Linfield
34
Kalju Nomme
94
Defence
Linfield
46
Kalju Nomme
66
Momentum
Linfield
17
Kalju Nomme
100
Danger (xG)
Linfield
0.90
Kalju Nomme
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Linfield)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Kalju Nomme)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Linfield)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Kalju Nomme)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LinfieldLinfield
DLW
Kalju NommeKalju Nomme
DWWDD

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Linfield24%
Draw24%
Kalju Nomme51%

Kalju Nomme leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Linfield head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Windsor Park in mixed form (DL), while Kalju Nomme arrive in mixed form (W). Linfield have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Kalju Nomme over 1 games.

Tactically, Kalju Nomme hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a average Linfield defence (46/100), while Linfield's attack faces a solid Kalju Nomme backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Linfield have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Kalju Nomme have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Kalju Nomme have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Kalju Nomme to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Linfield 2434%, Draw 2420%, Kalju Nomme 5146%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Linfield 0Draws 11 Kalju Nomme
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
Linfield
D22
Kalju Nomme
9 Jul 2026
Linfield
L01
Kalju Nomme

Recent form

Linfield

Linfield

D
vs Kalju Nomme
16 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Kalju Nomme
9 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Dungannon Swifts
12 May 2026
31
Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme

D
@ Linfield
16 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Linfield
9 Jul 2026
10
W
@ Nõmme United
3 Jul 2026
31
D
vs Paide
28 Jun 2026
11
D
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
20 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

GoalVio's model predicts Kalju Nomme to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more