GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Linfield are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Glenavon FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Linfield hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Premiership, while Linfield holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Linfield

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LinfieldWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Glenavon FCLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LinfieldGlenavon FC
33.3Attack39.5
33.3Defence38.6
50.0Form32.5
42.7Power38.4
1.83xG1.10
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