Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Linero 5-1 Torns
Original prediction
Linero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.9% | 68.8% | 19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.3% | 15.0% | -7.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.8% | 16.3% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Linero
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Linero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LineroDLWWL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TornsLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LineroTorns
59.1Attack45.5
42.4Defence10.6
53.0Form31.8
51.9Power32.2
3.56xG1.39