Linensevs
Grêmio Prudente
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Linense 1-2 Grêmio Prudente
Original prediction
Linense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.0% | 49.7% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.1% | 27.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 27.8% | 23.0% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Linense
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Linense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00