Lindomevs
Galtabacks
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lindome · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lindome 4-3 Galtabacks
Original prediction
Lindome
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.6% | 58.7% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.1% | 18.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.3% | 22.9% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Lindome
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Lindome has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20