Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lindome · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lindome 1-3 Böljan
Original prediction
Lindome
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.7% | 48.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.3% | 21.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 30.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Lindome
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Lindome has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LindomeWLLLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BöljanLDDLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LindomeBöljan
63.9Attack50.0
44.4Defence55.6
51.4Form47.2
53.5Power51.6
1.89xG1.55