Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lindome · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Lindome are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Astrio are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lindome hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Lindome holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lindome
Probability
84.0%
Model confidence
11.6%
Lindome has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60