Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lindo FF 0-3 Nyköping
Original prediction
Nyköping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.3% | 20.8% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 20.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.6% | 58.4% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lindo FFLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NyköpingLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lindo FFNyköping
45.6Attack54.4
36.8Defence63.2
29.8Form57.9
38.3Power58.5
1.04xG2.06