Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lindo FF 1-5 Malmo FF
Original prediction
Malmo FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21.68 | 4.2% | 23.1% | 18.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.57 | 9.6% | 21.7% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 86.2% | 55.2% | -31.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lindo FFLLLDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Malmo FFLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lindo FFMalmo FF
100.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence81.0
100.0Form81.0
97.0Power82.5
1.44xG2.14