Lincolnvs
Wolves U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lincoln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lincoln are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wolves U21 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Lincoln holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lincoln
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Lincoln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00