Lincolnvs
Notts County
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lincoln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lincoln are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Notts County are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Lincoln holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lincoln
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Lincoln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80