LincolnvsManchester City U21

Lincoln are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Lincoln holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.