Lincolnvs
Chesterfield
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chesterfield · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lincoln are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chesterfield are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesterfield hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Chesterfield holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chesterfield
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Chesterfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00