Lincoln Red Imps U19vs
Zrinjski U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zrinjski U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lincoln Red Imps U19 1-4 Zrinjski U19
Original prediction
Zrinjski U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.90 | 6.0% | 23.5% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 8.60 | 10.3% | 21.8% | 11.5 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 83.7% | 54.7% | -29.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Zrinjski U19
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Zrinjski U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33