Lincoln Red Imps FCvs
Twente
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-4 Twente
Original prediction
Twente
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.70 | 7.4% | 22.5% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.88 | 13.7% | 22.6% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 78.9% | 55.0% | -23.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Twente
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Twente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00