GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/11/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qarabag · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lincoln Red Imps FC have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Qarabag are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the UEFA Champions League, while Qarabag holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Qarabag

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Qarabag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lincoln Red Imps FCNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
QarabagWLDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lincoln Red Imps FCQarabag
33.3Attack75.0
58.3Defence58.3
41.7Form58.3
46.0Power62.9
1.24xG1.61
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