Lincoln Red Imps FCvs
Lions Gibraltar
COMPLETEDGibraltar · Premier Division · 10/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lincoln Red Imps FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-0 Lions Gibraltar
Original prediction
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 78.1% | 68.0% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.69 | 13.3% | 17.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 10.30 | 8.6% | 14.9% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
Lincoln Red Imps FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40