GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/28/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

85.3%

Model confidence

85.3%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Turrialba FcLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Limón Black StarTurrialba Fc
53.9Attack28.1
64.7Defence10.4
57.8Form18.8
59.1Power22.4
3.15xG0.49
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