GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/1/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

85.3%

Model confidence

85.3%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Limón Black StarTurrialba Fc
53.9Attack28.1
64.7Defence10.4
57.8Form18.8
59.1Power22.4
3.15xG0.49
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