GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/25/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Santa AnaLWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Limón Black StarSanta Ana
53.9Attack33.3
64.7Defence100.0
57.8Form100.0
59.1Power80.3
1.53xG1.00
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