GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/23/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLWLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalupe FCDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Limón Black StarGuadalupe FC
53.9Attack66.7
64.7Defence50.0
57.8Form66.7
59.1Power64.8
1.70xG1.05
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