GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/15/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarWLLWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalupe FCWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Limón Black StarGuadalupe FC
53.9Attack66.7
64.7Defence50.0
57.8Form66.7
59.1Power64.8
1.70xG1.05
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