GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/4/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayLWWLL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Limón Black StarCS Uruguay
53.9Attack33.3
64.7Defence50.0
57.8Form16.7
59.1Power36.5
1.86xG0.83
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