GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/9/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CS UruguayLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Limón Black StarCS Uruguay
53.9Attack33.3
64.7Defence50.0
57.8Form16.7
59.1Power36.5
1.86xG0.83
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