GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/4/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cariari PocociWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarCariari Pococi
53.9Attack16.7
64.7Defence100.0
57.8Form66.7
59.1Power64.8
1.54xG0.89
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