GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Cariari PocociWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarCariari Pococi
53.9Attack16.7
64.7Defence100.0
57.8Form66.7
59.1Power64.8
1.54xG0.89
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