GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/29/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLWLLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cariari PocociWWLDW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Limón Black StarCariari Pococi
53.9Attack16.7
64.7Defence100.0
57.8Form66.7
59.1Power64.8
1.54xG0.89
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