GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/15/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aserri FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLWDDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Aserri FCDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarAserri FC
53.9Attack0.0
64.7Defence66.7
57.8Form0.0
59.1Power26.7
1.78xG0.79
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