GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/11/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Antioquia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AntioquiaDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Limón Black StarAntioquia
53.9Attack55.2
64.7Defence36.5
57.8Form40.6
59.1Power44.1
2.31xG1.03
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