GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/21/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ADR JicaralWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Limón Black StarADR Jicaral
53.9Attack33.3
64.7Defence100.0
57.8Form100.0
59.1Power80.3
1.53xG1.00
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