GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/9/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Limón Black Star are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Limón Black StarDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Limón Black StarAD Carmelita
53.9Attack66.7
64.7Defence33.3
57.8Form33.3
59.1Power45.3
1.87xG0.95
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