Limavady Unitedvs
Linfield
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Limavady United 0-2 Linfield
Original prediction
Linfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.07 | 14.9% | 28.6% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.9% | 26.2% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.1% | 45.1% | -19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00