Limavady Unitedvs
Dungannon Swifts
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dungannon Swifts · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Limavady United 0-2 Dungannon Swifts
Original prediction
Dungannon Swifts
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 30.1% | 26.6% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 26.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.2% | 46.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Dungannon Swifts
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60