Limavady Unitedvs
Cliftonville FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cliftonville FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Limavady United 1-0 Cliftonville FC
Original prediction
Cliftonville FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.1% | 27.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 26.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 47.7% | 46.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Cliftonville FC
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Cliftonville FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60