Limavady Unitedvs
Bangor
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Limavady United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Limavady United 3-1 Bangor
Original prediction
Limavady United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.7% | 47.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 25.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Limavady United
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Limavady United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00