EliteserienEliteserien
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 12:33
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

Home
W
12
Full time
Viking

Viking

Away
D
Åråsen
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Lillestrom(39%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Lillestrom
39%
Draw
26%
Viking
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lillestrom
73
Viking
34
Defence
Lillestrom
91
Viking
66
Momentum
Lillestrom
100
Viking
33
Danger (xG)
Lillestrom
1.80
Viking
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Lillestrom)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Viking)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Lillestrom)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Viking)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LillestromLillestrom
WW
VikingViking
LDWW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Lillestrom39%
Draw26%
Viking34%

Lillestrom leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Lillestrom head into this in Eliteserien fixture at Åråsen in mixed form (W), while Viking arrive in mixed form (D). Lillestrom have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Viking over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Lillestrom (91/100) and Viking (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Lillestrom have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Viking have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Viking have generated 0.92 xG per game recently while conceding 0.99 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Lillestrom and Viking in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Lillestrom to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Lillestrom 3925%, Draw 2640%, Viking 3435%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

W
@ Fredrikstad
11 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Sandefjord
16 May 2026
31
Viking

Viking

L
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
12 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.6
D
@ Sonderjyske
3 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Kristiansund BK
24 May 2026
21
xG 1.2
W
vs Start
16 May 2026
63

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lillestrom vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts Lillestrom to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Viking?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lillestrom vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more